Section outline


  • In this first module we will see where to find occurrence data (if you don’t have your own), how to download them. Furthermore we will focus of cleaning and validation procedures in order to have a suitable dataset to be use in module 2.
  • In this module we will see where and how find environmental layers to build our SDM. Then we will refine again our dataset taking into account the spatial resolution of the environmental layer. Finally, we will see how to deal with the problem of multi-collinearity in environmental layers. At the end on this module we will have a dataset with occurrences and a number of layer that we will use to train our SDM in module 3. 
  • In this module we will use the dataset obtained in module 2 to train the SDMs (occurrences + bioclimatic variables). We produce an SDM for P. krameri under the current climatic conditions and then we will project the model’s results in space (at global level) and in time taking into account the current and the future ("worst" IPCC Fifth Report scenario for the 2070, see also IPCC, 2013) climate conditions. The final training of the model will be performed using an ensemble forecasting approach based on the use of multiple modelling algorithms and the average of the respective predictions (see Thuiller et al., 2009).

  • In this module we will build the final model by averaging the 3 ensemble models (one for each replicate) obtained in module 3. A weighted average will be obtained by using the TSS scores associated to each ensemble model that will be extracted and plotted with the ROC scores as well.

  • Not only R is available to realize SDMs. Here we provide a survey of some of the most common used packages for SDM

    • R packages: Dismo, biomod2, maxlike, hSDM, SDMTools
    • Maxent
    • Openmodeller
    • ModEco: Integrated Software for Species Distribution Analysis and Modeling